of ohio and florida. but is that true? we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n. we decided to turn the tables tonight and let miller loose on ahmadinejad. >> he is the impeerist do you df fuss. >> barack obama what do you think. >> it's all there in black and white. i hope the white part doesn't screw it up. >> our government is wiping its-[bleep] with the constitution. >> bill: new study out of the university of new hampshire celebrities saying dumb political stuff are hurting their careers. juliet huddy on that. caution, you where to enter the no spin zone. the factor begins right now. >> bill: i'm birl, thanks for watching us tonight. the status of the presidential race right this moment that's the subject of this evening's talking points memo. this is is an important factor tonight because we are going to tell you straight up where the campaign is at this point in history. n

what's going on in the buckeye state. dick morris and dennis miller warming up in the bullpen. both have provocative things to tell us upcoming. >> bill: continuing now with lead story. joining us from columbus the governor of ohio john kasich. before we get to that i'm bortd when people see you they will think i'm off because you obviously before you were the chief executive. >> 10 years. >> bill: that's right. my substitute here. quinnipiac poll has the president ahead in your state. also has you approval rating 48%. disapprove 35. so you in this poll are doing very well but mitt romney is not doing as well as you are and i want to know why. you listened to carl rove and i agree with him. these polls i don't pay attention to him. the numbers you just cited are numbers i didn't even pay attention to on my own numbers because it gindz when you ask and how you asked and what the sample is i think this is very close out here it. it is going to go right down to the wire. it's going to be who convinces people who are creating jobs who are listening and for their children. all about jobs

. dick morris on a bunch of new polling out today. some of it good news for mitt romney. we are coming right back from boston, massach >> bill: continuing now with the lead story, murder of the libyan ambassador to libya. christopher stevens and three other americans in benghazi, libya. joining us from washington louise gutierrez a member of the house intelligence committee. congressman, what say you? number one i'm mourning the death of a wonderful ambassador and three other americans condemning their death at the hands of extremist hands in libya. and and the same token i don't want to take a tragedy in libya and try to make political points out of it look, ambassador stevens was our uni have to the insurgent group before we got rid of colonel can qaddafi. in other words he was sent there by america to help foster democracy. which makes this even more ironic and greater tragedy. he understood and worked and he was then promoted to ambassador. america has a deep interest in making sure they have a keen relationship with the new people. i remember when senator mccain and others

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what's going on in the buckeye state. dick morris and dennis miller warming up in the bullpen. both have provocative things to tell us upcoming. most of the pain i experience is in my knees. when i think of aspirin, i really think of it as that bottle in the back of my parents' medicine cabinet. finding bayer advanced was huge. i was really surprised by how well it worked. and i'd definitely use it again. put bayer advanced aspirin to the test for yourself at fastreliefchallenge.com. for their "destination wedding." double miles you can "actually" use. but with those single mile travel cards... [ bridesmaid ] blacked out... but i'm a bridesmaid. oh! "x" marks the spot she'll never sit. but i bought a dress! a toast... ...to the capital one venture card. fly any airline, any flight, anytime. double miles you can actually use. what a coincidence? what's in your wallet? [ all screaming ] watch the elbows ladies. >> bill: continuing now with lead story. joining us from columbus the governor of ohio john kasich. before we get to that i'm bortd when people see you they will think i'm off

always. dick morris on the new presidential polling. some of it good news for romney and the middle east situation. later, dennis miller will weigh in on the violence last night and the two presidential conventions. those reports after these messages. >> bill: if the impact segment tonight, rasmussen out with a tracking poll that shows the presidential race pretty much a dead heat. president obama 46%. mitt romney 45% according to rasmussen. brand new fox news poll better news for the president president obama 48%, romney 43%. dick morris joins us now. do you think the murders in libya and ejichings stuff is going to have an effect on the election? >> yeah, a big one. up to now, obama basically made foreign policy his strongest suit. capitalizing on the bin laden killing, which i'm glad happened. but libya is obama's property. he owns libya. his decision to intervene and to have the u.s. air force enforce a no-fly zone that cop peld qaddafi and put the current regime in power makes libya his iraq. just as bush was held responsible for stuff in iraq. is he going to be held responsible for

o'reilly.com has a block of tickets so you can check it out on our web site. directly ahead dick morris on whether the republicans can win the senate in november. then, bernie goldberg on bad media decisions by both presidential candidates. dennis miller analyzes the president on letterman last nigh >> bill: in addition to the presidential race senate retain control of the house. things aren't going to well in massachusetts with scott brown running by elizabeth warren. four polls have ms. warren ahead. joining us from palm beach florida author the book dubz runs for president. dick morris. county g.o.p. win the senate? >> well, i think they will do better than my dog will. i believe they will win the senate. there are three seats that are very very likely. almost given republic wins. nebraska, north dakota and wisconsin. open seats all of them north dakota a little closer than usual but it's a heavily republic state. wisconsin a little bit closing of the gap but thompson is still way ahead. now, if they win those three and ryan is vice president, they control the senate. but if biden is vi

analyze the murders of the americans last night. dick morris on a bunch of new polling out today. some of it good news for mitt romney. we are coming right back from boston, massach >>> a mob launched into a fiery rampage there yesterday. the attack killing the u.s. ambassador and killing three others as well. the white house is investigating whether the rampage was planned to mark the anniversary of the september 11th attacks or as a backlash to an antiislamic movie z a second night of violent demonstrations in cairo. and there are no specific threats to their safety at this point. i'm ainsley earhardt. back to the o'reilly factor, thanks for watching fox. this happy couple used capital one venture miles for their "destination wedding." double miles you can "actually" use. but with those single mile travel cards... [ bridesmaid ] blacked out... but i'm a bridesmaid. oh! "x" marks the spot she'll never sit. but i bought a dress! a toast... ...to the capital one venture card. fly any airline, any flight, anytime. double miles you can actually use. what a coincidence? what's in you

o'reilly.com has a block of tickets so you can check it out on our web site. directly ahead dick morris on whether the republicans can win the senate in november. then, bernie goldberg on bad media decisions by both presidential candidates. dennis miller analyzes the president on letterman last president on letterman last nigh of hardest-working, smoothest-riding.lass it's got the most torque, the smoothest suspension, the best storage, class-leading comfort, and a revolutionary collection of versatile accessories. it's built on everything we've learned creating the world's best-selling utility side-by-sides. introducing the all new 60-horsepower ranger xp 900, a whole new class of hardest-working, smoothest-riding. >> bill: in addition to the presidential race senate retain control of the house. things aren't going to well in massachusetts with scott brown running by elizabeth warren. four polls have ms. warren ahead. joining us from palm beach florida author the book dubz runs for president. dick morris. county g.o.p. win the senate? >> well, i think they will do better than my dog will.

last night. dick morris on a bunch of new polling out today. some of it good news for mitt romney. we are coming right back from boston, massachusetts. >> continuing coverage of breaking news on fox news channel. i'm shepard smith in new york. and we're monitoring developments in libya. one day after attackers in benghazi killed the u.s.s. ambassador and three other americans. u.s. officials tell fox news tonight the pentagon is now moving two warships to the libyan coast for what it calls contingency purposes 50 marines heading to tripoli. u.s. lawmakers say killers may have been planning this for some time. >> it was a coordinated military-styled commando-type raid that had both direct fire and indirect fire. military movement involved in it. this was a well-planned, well-targeted event. >> shepard: the violence in benghazi in libya came as we marked 11 years since the attacks of 9/11. members of the senate intelligence committee are calling for investigations to determine whether there is a link. we'll have another update at the bottom of the hour. shepard smith in new york. th

of tickets so you can check it out on our web site. directly ahead dick morris on whether the republicans can win the senate in november. then, bernie goldberg on bad media decisions by both presidential candidates. dennis miller analyzes the president on letterman last night. those reports after these messages. after lauren broke up, i went to the citi private pass page and decided to be...not boring. that's how i met marilyn... giada... really good. yes! [ jack ] ...and alicia. ♪ this girl is on fire [ male announcer ] use any citi card to get the benefits of private pass. more concerts, more events, more experiences. [ jack ] hey, who's boring now? [ male announcer ] get more access with the citi card. [ crowd cheering, mouse clicks ] [ chuckles ] ♪ [ honk! ] ♪ [ honk! ] ♪ [ honk! ] ♪ [ male announcer ] now you'll know when to stop. [ hk! ] the all-new nissan altima with easy fill tire alert. [ honk! ] it's our most innovative altima ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪ >> bill: in addition to the presidential race senate retain control of the house. things

. here is dick morris staggering even sean hannity on fox news this week. >> as he's at the moment in a bee hectwere osition. held today, romney would win by four or five points. i believe he would carry florida, ohio, virginia. i believe he would carry nevada. i believe he would carry pennsylvania. >> oh, come on. >> pennsylvania, and i believe he would be competitive in michigan. people need to understand that the polling this year is the worst it's ever been because ie t ti whe if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they're going to vote. the models these folks are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of six or seven pnts. >> we're all wrongthis business, we make mistakes. he'she only guy i kn who s w wn he says this stuff, dick morris. in the eyes of republicans, it's that the polls are conspiring to bring him down. michael tomasky, special correspondenfor "newsweek," and ron reagan is an msnbc political analyst and author of "my father at 100." ron, you have to start with you. you're a sympathetic voice when it comes to common sense, and why would any

they put dick morris on. dick morris. he said that they're using the 2008 polls. he accused them of using the polls from 2008. >> stephanie: dana, here's what's most entertaining. er this already setting up the prestory for why mitt romney didn't get elected. >> caller: they're totally reaching and my second thing is, you know seeing newt gingrich with todd akin, it is despicable. this whole ralph reed thing, i sent you and chris a copy of the form. he's got this voter form and it was on rachel maddow last night. it is despicable. >> stephanie: newt gingrich will go to the opening of an envelope. the rapey guy? sure. >> caller: absolutely. i don't know. you know, remember with president obama and bill ayers and reverend wright, continually, defended himself. so why isn't mitt romney stepping away from these people? i don't agree with ralph reed or todd akin? he's not doing that. >> the plan is to step -- he's obviously cleared himself of newt gingrich a long time ago and todd akin, they came out directly against because they didn't have a choice and my favorite was that he kept sayi

is the master of denying reality? here comes dick morris. >> he is at the moment in a very strong position. if the election were held today, romney would win by four or five points. i believe he would carry florida, ohio virginia, nevada. pennsylvania -- >> oh come on. >> pennsylvania, and i believe he would be competitive in michigan. >> cenk: you know you really have to be crazy for hannity to go come on. this is now being called pole trutherism. and i love what our own michael shure started. he started a hashtag called dick morris predictions. no one will even notice that the nfl is even using replacement reps. he is already catching on fire. i love it. another way that they go here with the counterattacks is mitt romney doing an on-air ad. when you see the actual candidate in the ad, you know he is in a little bit of trouble. why? because they don't normally go in that direction. he is trying to do a personal appeal. here is mitt romney trying. >> romney: president obama and i both care about poor and middle class families, the difference is my policies will make things better

line. this morning, republican strategist dick morris a side on his website, most pollsters are weighing their dat toont assumption that the twift electorate will turn out in the same proportion as the 2008 voters did but polling indicates a distant lack of enthusiasm for the president among his core constituency. so let's talk about that cnn contributor will cane ling is right and roland martin is here. why -- are you lafgt samuel l. jackson? >> oh, my gosh, sam is the man. first of all if you don't follow him on twitter, you need to.>> . first of all if you don't follow him on twitter, you need to. some people will say, oh, my god, it's the language. guess how much money r-rated films make all the time and we know his rants in "pulp fiction" and "shaft" as well w why not have shaft get people excited about voting? way to go sam. >> give me your critique of samuel l. jackson's ad? >> my film critique. rolling on a three-second delay here? i do get the same liberties that samuel l. jackson takes? >> no. >> try it. try it. >> no. >> should i try it? no. whatever. it's fine. i mea

on september 12th. we're going to have more tonight with dick morris, but first an honor to be joined in studio with a book called "mug" ann coulter is with us. they lied. there were two ways of attacks. this is not spontaneous. i happen to have a missile-fired grenade i'm about to shoot into a consulate and kill an ambassador you think it wasn't the you tube video? >> sean: the one released in july? >> obama said on 60 minutes i krt administration a bump in the road. his presidency a bump in the road. >> sean: the thing is that there are two navy s.e.a.l.s. there is an ambassador saying i'm frayed and on a hit list. i writes it in his diary. are we to believe he didn't tell anybody? a cable? or e mail? how do we get to the bottom of this? >> right. well,... as i told you two weeks ago i was a little sus spishus since this started on september 11th something the white house didn't seem to notice. and all of that. that goes back to my last book not the one out tomorrow about mobs and we can see this arab spring was going to be a disaster z also, this diary and everything else, t

. he's the only guy i know who knows he's wrong when he says this stuff, dick morris. in the eyes of republicans, it's that the polls are conspiring to bring him down. michael, special correspondent for "newsweek" and ron reagan is oon msnbc political analyst and author of "my father at 100." ron, you have to start with you. you're a sympathetic voice when it comes to common sense, and why would anybody ever, ever, ever no mat mother pays them ever listen to what dick morris has to say about anything, especially when he says all the polls, including fox's own polls, are not to be trusted because he doesn't like the numbers, he doesn't like what they're saying this week. >> it's true that you sometimes imagine that back in the republican green room there's this giant crack pipe that they're all hitting on constantly, hitting it hard, but, you know, listen -- >> it's time to say don't bogart that, morris, because i think he's been on that pipe longer than most. just a thought. >> he bought the pipe i think and brought it into the room. but let's not give them too much credit here. i me

outrageous interview with dick morris, but first we're joined in studio by the author of a brand-new book out today, "mugged" available in bookstores everywhere. ann coulter is with you. they lied. this is the bottom line here. they said the youtube video, two ways of attack. this is not spontaneous. i have a missile-fired grenade i'm about to shoot into a u.s. consulate and kill a u.s. ambassador. >> you don't think it's a youtube video? >> sean: the one released in july? >> i consider the whole administration a bump in the road. his presidency a bump in the road. >> sean: that's a good point. >> sean: look, we have two navy seals. we've got an ambassador. the ambassador is saying, i'm afraid, i'm on a terror hit list. he writes it in his diary. >> right. >> sean: he wrote it in his dire, and ardiary, but he didn'l anybody about it? >> as i told you two weeks ago, i was a little suspicious since it all started on 9/11, something the white house didn't seem to notice. all of that, that goes back to my last book, not the one out tomorrow. >> sean: right. >> about mobs. we could all see thi

his answers to crucial questions are nothing short of shocking. we'll exam it with dick morris. by the way, did you know roseanne barr is running for president? she'll tell us why socialism is the answer. that and much more tonight on "hannity." how can you get back pain relief that lasts up to 16 hours? with thermacare heatwraps. thermacare works differently. it's the only wrap with patented heat cells that penetrate deep to relax, soothe, and unlock tight muscles. for up to 16 hours of relief, try thermacare. at red lobster. there's so many choices, the gues love it! [ male announcer ] don't miss endless shrimp. try as much as you like, anyway you like. like new teriyaki grilled shrimp for just $14.99! my name is gela trapp, and i sea food differently. my name is gela trapp, ♪ atmix of energies.ve the world needs a broader that's why we're supplying natural gas to generate cleaner electricity... that has around 50% fewer co2 emissions than coal. and it's also why, with our partner in brazil, shell is producing ethanol - a biofuel made from renewable sugarcane. >>a minute, mom!

the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell phones and republica

dick morris has to say about anything, especially when he says all the polls, including fox's own polls, areot to be trusted because he doesn'tike the mber hdoesn't le w the s this week. >> it's true that you sometimes imagine that back in the republican green room there's this giant crack pipe that they're all hitting on constantly, hitng it hard, is tim to't bogart -- that, morris, because i think he's been on that pipe longer than most. just a thought. >> he bought the pipe i think and brought it into the room. but let's not give them too much credit her i mean, yes, it's true -- >> i'm not -- >> -- the rank and file -- no, no. e r aile actually believes some of this nonsense. they believe that evolution didn't happen, global warm something a hoax obama is a kenyan, but people like dick morris and sean hannity, they know better than that, and there'a method to their eynolualey're dishonest. they're not crazy, they're craven. >> i hate to say it, ron, but i believe that sean hannity is as smart as me or anybody else but he says stuff on the air that throws red meat out for that

mitt romney regain his lead and what is causing the trend. dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in

is a disregard for basic facts. you have people like dick morris on the air saying he would win by five points if the election were today. is he smoking something? >> that's a very good question. we can't confirm that. we have pictures live of the president speaking at a campaign event in washington, d.c. eugene, perhaps romney should try disappearing for a while, then he might become as popular as george w. bush because shock, horror, as it stands now, the former president is actually more popular than mitt romney, though they're both, as they say, underwater. what do you think? >> well, perhaps that could work but it's an inconvenient time for romney to disappear given that there's this election in a few weeks. however, he does keep disappearing. he keeps leaving the campaign trail to do these fund-raisers. one asks again what are they thinking in boston, what are they doing in boston, why are they running the campaign this way? and in the end the campaign comes down to the candidate. i mean, you can't blame it on the consultants. you can't blame it on the people around him. toug

be selling refrigerators in topeka. >> president obama is going to win. but dick morris is not going to topeka. he will continue to cash his fox news paycheck and continue to predict republicans victories no matter what the polls say. even the fox news polls. [ male announcer ] this is rudy. his morning starts with arthritis pain. and two pills. afternoon's overhaul starts with more pain. more pills. triple checking hydraulics. the evening brings more pain. so, back to more pills. almost done, when... hang on. stan's doctor recommended aleve. it can keep pain away all day with fewer pills than tylenol. this is rudy. who switched to aleve. and two pills for a day free of pain. ♪ [ female announcer ] and try aleve for relief from tough headaches. [ female announcer ] and try aleve those little things for you, life's about her. but your erectile dysfunction - that could be a question of blood flow. cialis tadalafil for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved

that true? we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.

. dick morris with a brand new column up saying the wind is at romney's back. he will win unless there is a catastrophe. if you hear that and digest that day after day, it is going to be uncomfortable on election night. >> john: i think eric, that explains the falsehoods in paul ryan's speech. so many people were shocked the v.p. nominee could tell so many easily disproved lies in his speech. i think it's because the man is used to living in the bubble and speaking to audiences that won't fact check him. >> that's a good point. people were taken back since when do vice presidential candidates at the convention just sort of make stuff up? >> john: i think it was established in 2008. >> she really said -- the president was the bridge to nowhere, i think. paul ryan just followed it up with the g.m. plant closing. completely unforced air. didn't have to make it. i think there's something to it. he's been telling this lie about that plant closing for so long to either republican audiences or republican talk shows or on fox news. and there's no pushback. so i think you're right. within that

. let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the whole development of the last 24 hours are really calling into question obama's foreign policy credentials and his supposed advantage in that field. don't forget that this libya attack comes at a country with the united states basically underwrote their whole revolution, put our own people at risk, flying strikes in the no-fly zone. this is a uprising the u.s. backed and supported. so this is a tremendous, tremendous reversal and a black eye for obama and his foreign policy. on the netanyahu front, it was incredible that hillary clinton said yesterday, there are no bright lines, which basically tells the

you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabbato make this is point well, why this yea

. dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured out in the latest poll. 30.67 percent of the country considers them republic

the right direction. we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >> tim burke, let me ask you about the economics of hamilton county. how was it doing? what is the unemployment rate, and what impact will that have on overall results in november? >> let me speak to ohio in general, as alex just did. i think the reason president obama is doing so well -- the biggest one may be the of the rescue. 750,000 jobs in ohio -- many right here in southwest ohio -- depend on the auto industry. the fact that has come back as strongly as it has has ohio doing better than the national economy is doing. just yesterday we had president obama here. the individual

are using different language. >> okay, dick morris. >> all bets are that she will be gone most say she is done as sifs. susan rice, she is the one who came out. is there a fracture here is there another important question here. regardless of that were the american people lied to? is this an evolution gathering the facts on this and evolving throughout the week or were the american people lied to initially told spontaneous reaction told anti-islam film. >> third whether or not it's a terrorist attack would we provide the same response you would after the coal bombing or would you provide a different response like after september 11th in afghanistan? lt. colonel tony shaffer on what sort of military course we should be taking. listen to his response. >> right now we have got to look at how to get inside this network because clearly here this met work is reestablished itself globally. we have to get these intelligence officers back out there doing hard stuff. a the love the intelligence officers were told sit on their hands and don't do anything too provocative because they are all our fr